Don't Bet Your Portfolio on Election Year Fears

The presidential election and its impact on the markets loom large among investors' concerns. Mike Townsend tapped the resources of Schwab's Center for Financial Research to answer client questions, including the role of third-party candidates; what happens if either of the main candidates leaves the race; and how the markets, as well as individual sectors, typically perform in the run-up to the election and immediately afterward. Mike also looks at historical market correlations with election outcomes, explains why the Congressional elections may be more important to the markets than the presidential race, and offers key takeaways for how to keep emotions in check and approach this election season.

In other Washington updates, Mike discusses the possibility of a government shutdown as the federal budget remains unfunded more than five months after the start of this fiscal year. He also looks at two bills that seem to be on hold, the $95 billion foreign aid bill and the tax bill that would expand the Child Tax Credit and extend some business tax breaks. And he offers an update on two rules approved by the SEC, one requiring public companies to offer more information to investors about risks they could encounter from climate change and another that brings more transparency to the equities-trading process.

WashingtonWise is an original podcast for investors from Charles Schwab. For more on the series, visit Schwab.com/WashingtonWise.

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Important Disclosures

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. 

All expressions of opinion are subject to changes without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic, and geopolitical conditions. Data herein is obtained from what are considered reliable sources; however, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.

All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

​This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal, or investment planning advice. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, you should consult with a qualified tax advisor, CPA, Financial Planner, or Investment Manager.

Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.

Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.

Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see Schwab.com/IndexDefinitions.

The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.

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